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Office Location 205 SE Spokane St
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June 2009 Portland -Metro Market Action Report

Posted by Melinda Morgan on Friday, July 31st, 2009 at 3:49pm.

Portland-Metro Market Action Report June 2009

 

According to the most recent RMLS Market action report, the region's median home price has leveled off this summer and hovered in June around $250,000, down 17 percent from its peak. The inventory of unsold homes -- the key measure of supply and demand -- improved more than usual in June. Thanks to an uptick from record-low sales this winter, the inventory dropped from 19 months in January to eight months in June.

 

One doesn’t have to be a Realtor to know that home sales are cyclical. Winter is a slower season and summer being the hottest.  During that cycle, the number of homes listed typically expands steadily from January to July. In 2008, listings grew from January to June by 28 percent. In 2007, it was 40 percent, and in 2006, 52 percent. This year, the rise is just 3 percent. Some experts believe the only reason we even saw a rise was due to the $8000 tax credit for new home buyers.

The good news is the Portland-area housing market didn't get worse in June. In other words, the fact that it didn’t continue declining is an improvement. Economists and Real-estate experts both have conflicting views of the future. Some say the market is on its way up while others say it has another 20-30% drop ahead.

 

My opinion is the real-estate market is really volatile right now. If you need/desire to get in/out of a home in the next 3 years then do it now. Don’t try to chase the market up or down. Just like in the stock market – if you try to chase it, you’ll likely just get burned. To a buyer, my advice is jump in now while everything seems to be in your favor. If you’re a new buyer you have a limited time to take advantage of the $8000 tax credit and if you’re waiting for another drop in the market you could just as easily be hit with higher interest rates. As a seller, if you are planning to sell and then buy right away your loss is somewhat covered when you get a deal on your next home. Some would agree that what you lose in selling your home you gain when buying your next.  

 


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